BINtools

0.2.0

Bayesian BIN (Bias, Information, Noise) Model of Forecasting

0packages depend

3.7Kdownloads / year

70.6%test coverage

13/13checks pass

Overview

About

Maintained by Ville SatopääFirst published 2021-06-102 releasesCRAN page ↗

A recently proposed Bayesian BIN model disentangles the underlying processes that enable forecasters and forecasting methods to improve, decomposing forecasting accuracy into three components: bias, partial information, and noise. By describing the differences between two groups of forecasters, the model allows the user to carry out useful inference, such as calculating the posterior probabilities of the treatment reducing bias, diminishing noise, or increasing information. It also provides insight into how much tamping down bias and noise in judgment or enhancing the efficient extraction of valid information from the environment improves forecasting accuracy. This package provides easy access to the BIN model. For further information refer to the paper Ville A. Satopää, Marat Salikhov, Philip E. Tetlock, and Barbara Mellers (2021) "Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting" doi:10.1287/mnsc.2020.3882.

Install

R (CRAN)Ubuntu (r2u)openSUSE (OBS)

install.packages("BINtools", repos = "https://cloud.r-project.org/")

Installs the current CRAN release. Prebuilt binaries on Windows and macOS.

Release

# enable cranapt (r2u) if it is not already set up, then install
grep -rqs r2u.stat.illinois.edu /etc/apt/sources.list /etc/apt/sources.list.d/ \
  || curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/eddelbuettel/r2u/master/inst/scripts/add_cranapt_noble.sh | sudo bash
sudo apt install -y r-cran-bintools

Fast Ubuntu binaries via r2u (no compilation). The cranapt setup runs once and is skipped when it is already enabled.

bspm (used by r2u) also needs make: sudo apt install make

# add the autoCRAN OBS repo (Tumbleweed) if it is missing, then install
zypper -q lr | grep -qi autoCRAN \
  || sudo zypper addrepo https://download.opensuse.org/repositories/devel:/languages:/R:/autoCRAN/openSUSE_Tumbleweed/devel:languages:R:autoCRAN.repo
sudo zypper install -y R-BINtools

RPMs auto-built from CRAN on openSUSE OBS (Tumbleweed).

Health

CRAN checks

13OK

Slowest check: 23.8 min · r-oldrel-windows-x86_64

Code health

Yes

Tests · ratio 0.40

70.6%

Coverage · measured lines

100%

Documentation · exports

Dependencies · direct

Check history

OK2026-04-25
12 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
NOTE2026-04-22
11 OK · 3 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
ERROR2026-04-18
10 OK · 3 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 1 ERROR · 0 FAILURE
NOTE2026-03-10
11 OK · 3 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE

Documentation

READMEYes · 64 wordsVignettesYes · dynamicpkgdown siteNoNEWSYes · 100% structuredCode of conductNoContributing guideNo

Examples that run: 67%
Documented parameters: 78%
Return-value docs: 100%
References docs: 25%

Downloads

3.7K

CRAN downloads in the past year

Rank #10,403 · ~10/day · ~311/mo

Releases R versions

Daily download trend is not available in this view yet.

40230 days

1K90 days

3.7K1 year

Compare downloads with other packages →

Also on490 r2u78 autocran

Dependencies

Declared dependencies

19 external dependencies (excludes base and recommended)

Depends (1)

R >= 3.4.0

Imports (9)

methodsRcpp rstan dplyr (>= 1.0.2)tibble stringi mvtnorm (>= 1.1.1)combinat rstantools

LinkingTo (6)

BH Rcpp RcppEigen RcppParallel rstan StanHeaders (>= 2.18.0)

Suggests (5)

testthat knitr rmarkdown pacman RcppParallel

Enhances (0)

none

Dependency license breakdown →

Reverse dependencies

0direct

0indirect

Nothing depends on this yet.

Code & Tests

People & History

People (3)

Maintainer (1)

Ville Satopää

Author, Maintainer

Authors (3)

Ville Satopää

Author, Maintainer

Elvira Moreno

Author

Marat Salikhov

Author

Package Timeline

2 releases. Pick two to compare their code metrics. R releases are shown for context.

R
R 4.6.0 released · 2026-04-24
R
R 4.5.0 released · 2025-04-11
R
R 4.4.0 released · 2024-04-24
R
R 4.3.0 released · 2023-04-21
R
R 4.2.0 released · 2022-04-22
0.2.0Latest
2022-04-04 · current release · diff ↗
0.1.0
2021-06-10
R
R 4.1.0 released · 2021-05-18

Package metadata

First published: 2021-06-10
Total releases: 2 / 5 yrs
License: GPL-3 OSI
Minimum R: ≥ 3.4.0
Download size: 92 KB
Installed size: not tracked yet
With dependencies: not tracked yet

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