runexp
Softball Run Expectancy using Markov Chains and Simulation
Description
Implements two methods of estimating runs scored in a softball scenario: (1) theoretical expectation using discrete Markov chains and (2) empirical distribution using multinomial random simulation. Scores are based on player-specific input probabilities (out, single, double, triple, walk, and homerun). Optional inputs include probability of attempting a steal, probability of succeeding in an attempted steal, and an indicator of whether a player is "fast" (e.g. the player could stretch home). These probabilities may be calculated from common player statistics that are publicly available on team's webpages. Scores are evaluated based on a nine-player lineup and may be used to compare lineups, evaluate base scenarios, and compare the offensive potential of individual players. Manuscript forthcoming. See Bukiet & Harold (1997) <doi:10.1287/opre.45.1.14> for implementation of discrete Markov chains.
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CRAN Check Status
Show all 14 flavors
| Flavor | Status |
|---|---|
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-clang | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-gcc | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-clang | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-gcc | OK |
| r-devel-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-devel-windows-x86_64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-macos-x86_64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-windows-x86_64 | OK |
| r-patched-linux-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-linux-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-release-macos-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-windows-x86_64 | OK |
Check History
OK 14 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE Mar 14, 2026
ERROR 13 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 1 ERROR · 0 FAILURE Mar 13, 2026
examples
Running examples in ‘runexp-Ex.R’ failed
The error most likely occurred in:
> base::assign(".ptime", proc.time(), pos = "CheckExEnv")
> ### Name: scrape
> ### Title: Softball Webscraper
> ### Aliases: scrape
>
> ### ** Examples
>
> url <-"https://wmubroncos.com/sports/softball/stats/2019"
> test <- scrape(url)
Error in open.connection(x, "rb") : cannot open the connection
Calls: scrape -> <Anonymous> -> read_html.default
Execution halted