pandemics
Monitoring a Developing Pandemic with Available Data
Description
Full dynamic system to describe and forecast the spread and the severity of a developing pandemic, based on available data. These data are number of infections, hospitalizations, deaths and recoveries notified each day. The system consists of three transitions, infection-infection, infection-hospital and hospital-death/recovery. The intensities of these transitions are dynamic and estimated using non-parametric local linear estimators. The package can be used to provide forecasts and survival indicators such as the median time spent in hospital and the probability that a patient who has been in hospital for a number of days can leave it alive. Methods are described in Gámiz, Mammen, Martínez-Miranda, and Nielsen (2024) <doi:10.48550/arXiv.2308.09918> and <doi:10.48550/arXiv.2308.09919>.
Downloads
163
Last 30 days
23822nd
535
Last 90 days
2.3K
Last year
Trend: +16.4% (30d vs prior 30d)
0
Last 30 days
23
Last 90 days
98
Last year
Trend: -100% (30d vs prior 30d)
2
Last 7 days
7
Last 30 days
0
All-time
autoCRAN-only: this name is served only by autoCRAN, so the count is exact.
CRAN Check Status
Show all 13 flavors
| Flavor | Status |
|---|---|
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-clang | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-gcc | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-clang | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-gcc | OK |
| r-devel-windows-x86_64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-macos-x86_64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-windows-x86_64 | OK |
| r-patched-linux-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-linux-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-release-macos-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-windows-x86_64 | OK |
Check History
OK 14 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE Mar 10, 2026
Code
Code metrics have not been computed for this package yet.
Version History
1 trackedR Observatory began tracking this package on Mar 10, 2026; it first appeared on CRAN Sep 4, 2024. Releases before tracking aren’t shown.