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BayesMoFo

Bayesian Mortality Forecasting

v0.1.0 · Jul 14, 2025 · GPL (>= 2)

Description

Carry out Bayesian estimation and forecasting for a variety of stochastic mortality models using vague prior distributions. Models supported include numerous well-established approaches introduced in the actuarial and demographic literature, such as the Lee-Carter (1992) <doi:10.1080/01621459.1992.10475265>, the Cairns-Blake-Dowd (2009) <doi:10.1080/10920277.2009.10597538>, the Li-Lee (2005) <doi:10.1353/dem.2005.0021>, and the Plat (2009) <doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2009.08.006> models. The package is designed to analyse stratified mortality data structured as a 3-dimensional array of dimensions p × A × T (strata × age × year). Stratification can represent factors such as cause of death, country, deprivation level, sex, geographic region, insurance product, marital status, socioeconomic group, or smoking behavior. While the primary focus is on analysing stratified data (p > 1), the package can also handle mortality data that are not stratified (p = 1). Model selection via the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) is supported.

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r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-gcc OK
r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-clang OK
r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-gcc OK
r-devel-macos-arm64 OK
r-devel-windows-x86_64 OK
r-oldrel-macos-arm64 OK
r-oldrel-macos-x86_64 OK
r-oldrel-windows-x86_64 OK
r-patched-linux-x86_64 OK
r-release-linux-x86_64 OK
r-release-macos-arm64 OK
r-release-macos-x86_64 OK
r-release-windows-x86_64 OK
Check details (14 non-OK)
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OK r-oldrel-macos-arm64

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OK r-oldrel-macos-x86_64

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OK r-oldrel-windows-x86_64

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OK r-patched-linux-x86_64

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OK r-release-linux-x86_64

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OK r-release-macos-arm64

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Check History

OK 14 OK · 0 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE Mar 9, 2026

Dependency Network

Dependencies Reverse dependencies rjags insight coda tidyverse dplyr magrittr rlang BayesMoFo

Version History

new 0.1.0 Mar 9, 2026