pandemics
Monitoring a Developing Pandemic with Available Data
Description
Full dynamic system to describe and forecast the spread and the severity of a developing pandemic, based on available data. These data are number of infections, hospitalizations, deaths and recoveries notified each day. The system consists of three transitions, infection-infection, infection-hospital and hospital-death/recovery. The intensities of these transitions are dynamic and estimated using non-parametric local linear estimators. The package can be used to provide forecasts and survival indicators such as the median time spent in hospital and the probability that a patient who has been in hospital for a number of days can leave it alive. Methods are described in Gámiz, Mammen, Martínez-Miranda, and Nielsen (2024) <doi:10.48550/arXiv.2308.09918> and <doi:10.48550/arXiv.2308.09919>.
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| Flavor | Status |
|---|---|
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-clang | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-debian-gcc | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-clang | OK |
| r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-gcc | OK |
| r-devel-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-devel-windows-x86_64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-macos-x86_64 | OK |
| r-oldrel-windows-x86_64 | OK |
| r-patched-linux-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-linux-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-macos-arm64 | OK |
| r-release-macos-x86_64 | OK |
| r-release-windows-x86_64 | OK |
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