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EpiNow2

Estimate and Forecast Real-Time Infection Dynamics

v1.8.0 · Feb 4, 2026 · MIT + file LICENSE

Description

Estimates the time-varying reproduction number, rate of spread, and doubling time using a renewal equation approach combined with Bayesian inference via Stan. Supports Gaussian process and random walk priors for modelling changes in transmission over time. Accounts for delays between infection and observation (incubation period, reporting delays), right-truncation in recent data, day-of-week effects, and observation overdispersion. Can estimate relationships between primary and secondary outcomes (e.g., cases to hospitalisations or deaths) and forecast both. Runs across multiple regions in parallel. Based on Abbott et al. (2020) <doi:10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16006.1> and Gostic et al. (2020) <doi:10.1101/2020.06.18.20134858>.

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r-devel-linux-x86_64-fedora-gcc OK
r-devel-macos-arm64 OK
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installed package size

  installed size is 148.8Mb
  sub-directories of 1Mb or more:
    doc        2.1Mb
    extdata    2.8Mb
    libs     141.9Mb
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GNU make is a SystemRequirements.
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installed package size

  installed size is 152.5Mb
  sub-directories of 1Mb or more:
    doc        2.1Mb
    extdata    2.8Mb
    libs     145.6Mb
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Rd cross-references

Package unavailable to check Rd xrefs: 'cmdstanr'
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for GNU extensions in Makefiles

GNU make is a SystemRequirements.
NOTE r-oldrel-windows-x86_64

installed package size

  installed size is 13.5Mb
  sub-directories of 1Mb or more:
    doc       2.1Mb
    extdata   2.8Mb
    libs      6.7Mb
NOTE r-oldrel-windows-x86_64

package dependencies

Package suggested but not available for checking: 'cmdstanr'
OK r-patched-linux-x86_64

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OK r-release-linux-x86_64

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OK r-release-macos-arm64

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Check History

NOTE 11 OK · 3 NOTE · 0 WARNING · 0 ERROR · 0 FAILURE Mar 9, 2026
NOTE r-oldrel-macos-arm64

package dependencies

Package suggested but not available for checking: ‘cmdstanr’
NOTE r-oldrel-macos-x86_64

package dependencies

Package suggested but not available for checking: ‘cmdstanr’
NOTE r-oldrel-windows-x86_64

package dependencies

Package suggested but not available for checking: 'cmdstanr'

Dependency Network

Dependencies Reverse dependencies checkmate cli data.table futile.logger (>= 1.4) ggplot2 lifecycle lubridate patchwork posterior primarycensored purrr R.utils Rcpp (>= 0.12.0) rlang rstan +4 more dependencies EpiNow2

Version History

new 1.8.0 Mar 9, 2026